TedinNaples
New Member
Since a few members have been commenting on the bet21.com dealer hitting to 21, I just wanted to post what I have seen so far this evening:
Round 1, $50 tournament, 13 total hands:
dealer up card: 7 draws to 21 7.4% probability
dealer up card: 7 draws to 21 7.4% probability
dealer up card: 3 draws to 21 11.6% probability
Round 1, $30 tournament, 12 total hands:
dealer up card: 8 draws to 21 6.9% probability
Round 2, $30 tournament, 15 total hands:
dealer up card: 6 draws to 21 10.6% probability
dealer up card: 5 draws to 21 10.9% probability
dealer up card: K draws to 21 3.5% probability
Total of 40 hands with dealer drawing to 21 on 7 hands with a range of probabilities of 3.5 to 11.6% on those hands. Without crunching the numbers, the dealer should have drawn to 21 on maybe 1 of those 7 hands.
I'm not saying there is anything "rigged" here -- I just wanted to add to the "evidence?" if anyone is collecting such data. I'll let the mathematicians in this group crunch the true probabilities of all this happening, if you choose to do so.
Round 1, $50 tournament, 13 total hands:
dealer up card: 7 draws to 21 7.4% probability
dealer up card: 7 draws to 21 7.4% probability
dealer up card: 3 draws to 21 11.6% probability
Round 1, $30 tournament, 12 total hands:
dealer up card: 8 draws to 21 6.9% probability
Round 2, $30 tournament, 15 total hands:
dealer up card: 6 draws to 21 10.6% probability
dealer up card: 5 draws to 21 10.9% probability
dealer up card: K draws to 21 3.5% probability
Total of 40 hands with dealer drawing to 21 on 7 hands with a range of probabilities of 3.5 to 11.6% on those hands. Without crunching the numbers, the dealer should have drawn to 21 on maybe 1 of those 7 hands.
I'm not saying there is anything "rigged" here -- I just wanted to add to the "evidence?" if anyone is collecting such data. I'll let the mathematicians in this group crunch the true probabilities of all this happening, if you choose to do so.