I know nothing about American politics but tend to have a look in at the U.S. news channels before going to bed. I have been following the republican nominee debates and a guy keeps jumping out at me who I think could win. I have backed him to win with William Hill at 4/1. Marco Rubio. What do you guys think? Have I done my money in? (Maybe I should have asked here before I put the bet on…lol). Andy
Totally agree. I have nothing against Rubio but those odds are TERRIBLE for any candidate at this point. "Giving" 4/1 that Trump will be gone before debate #5 would be a more attractive wager, I think.
Very perceptive Billy. Both parties will have it decided at the conventions, for the republicans in brokered deals it will be Bush. Hillary has to die to lose the dems nomination.
I did say that American politics was not something I really understand. Got it mixed up when the nominee votes would be taking place (thought it was for the week after I put the bet on). So got to agree with Leftnut and Billy C about the poor odds. However, over here there has been no movement in the betting up to now. It would be good to learn something about what’s going on with Marco Rubio and the rest of the nominees but all I get from the American news channels is Donald Trump (God help us) being rammed down my throat every night. Noman mentions Geb Bush who is the favourite over here at 13/8 but I don’t get his appeal as he comes over as dull as dishwater to me. My next bet is on the Democrats. Can’t get any decent odds on Hillary at 2/7(a fine woman who got a little bit muddled over her Email account). I have backed Joe Biden at 5/1 to sneak in through the Democratic back door. Andy
Again Billy sees behind the curtain. Andy if you want to hedge on Dems throw down on Bernie Sanders rather than Biden. Overall though both Bush and Clinton have the organization and money. Current polling measures national sentiment at this moment. which will give the better organized campaigns insight on fine tuning their message through the next year and a half. And Iowa and New Hampshire are not necessarily reflective or good samples of the national mood. Plus their electoral votes are insignificant. The southern super primary and readings from Calif, New York, Il, Ohio, Penn, Texas and Fla will reveal better indicators. Right now the polling(and who knows the sample size) is supposedly National. Better if a campaign is doing it in the aforementioned states.
Andy, I read an article this morning that states Marco Rubio has moved into 3rd place in the national polls behind Clinton and Trump to become the next President.
The big money is starting to go to Rubio. That makes him the best bet. But he'll have to promise something behind closed doors to Trumpy the Clown to keep him from running third party in the general election.
Betting odds over the pond I backed Marco Rubio at 4/1 and the odds never got any better. He is now favourite to win at 5/4. Others of interest are Donald Trump 7/2, Ben Carson 15/2 and Jeb Bush at 6/1. Andy
Come on Marco I’m really getting in to American Politics now and following all the debates in the early hours on television. Watching the American news channels such as CNN I and even have a look in on Fox News, although not sure if the latter could be classed as a news channel giving it’s bias to the Republicans. Here are the latest British odds from William Hill. Republican nominees. 1) Marco Rubio at odds on 8/13 (looking good for my 4/1 bet). 2) Donald Trump at 3/1. 3) Ted Cruz at 5/1. Democrat nominees. Hilary Clinton at odds on at 2/11 (those odds say a lot). Bernie Sanders at 4/1. Andy
Droogie: Fox News News is good. The analysis shows with their partiality are good during this election season. Good insights and perspectives from pundits, "experts" on all sides of the GOP, which has way more sides than the dems. Conventional thinking was Rubio got hurt by Christie, but Christie is gone. Can Trump hold up in South Carolina and Texas? Leaving Rubio and Cruz to split the opposition? Yeah I know Nevada comes before The Lone Star, but big T is bigger. Will Cruz carry his state. I wonder? Still betting on an open convention in Cleveland. Hillary is a mess. Does Sanders have the diametric populism to Trump? What a face off that would be. What none, or a very few ignored, thinkers have posited is that any one of the "extreme" candidates winning would face the same resistance in Congress that Obama has. More rule by executive order to accomplish their goals.
Sorry Andy, Rubio can't get elected at this point. The majority of the voters are anti-establishment. Since the most-outsider candidates are Trump and Sanders, they have to fight against millions of dollars being spend by the establishment which could care less about party, they want to stay in power. The idea outsider race would be Trump vs Sanders if they can win their respective parties primaries. If so I think socialist Sanders would be easy for Trump to beat.
