Yes I did have ups and downs yesterday as I played maybe 6 games. I did make final table in a multi event that had just under 50 players and came in 4th. Of course that paid fine as the payout went down to sixth. Not easy Im sure you will agree to make it that far finish in 4th. Now lets think Satellite. The satellite had about the same number of players. 1 seat was to be given. That means you need to come in first. If you were to enter every satellite and never take top spot it would add almost 3:1 your entry fee to the big game. If you played every satellite in Jan. and didnt get a 1st place your entry fee would charge up to near $500. Now the next problem. For every 215$ of input money they add another prize. Thats 43 more players almost 1.5 times the required 30. Using the raw numbers your chances are less 30 then 43 is 13 more. I wish someone would convince me this is such a great avenue to the big game.
Barney,
Congrats of the 4th place finish in the 5.00 6 pm EST tourney. Placing 4 out of 47 people is good. Lets do some numbers shall we?
In the tourney you played it payed to the top 6 places so you had a 1/47 chance of getting "something" = 12.76% of cashing
In the 8:30 pm EST satellite tourney lets assume 30 people (because the 10:30 had to be cancelled due to lack of participation) 1/30 = 3.3% chance of WINNING but lets look further shall we?
To win the 6 pm $5 tourney you had a 1/47 = 2.1% It paid 82.25. So on a 5.50 entry that is a net profit of 76.75 or 1,495% PRETTY GOOD.
The 6th place in that same tourney had a 1/47 = 2.1% and it paid 11.75. So that net profit was 6.25 or a 214% profit - still ok
You had a 22.70 net profit or a 413% return on your money. Not bad and much better return than Bank of America :laugh:
Now with the 5.50 satellite you win a seat valued at 215.00. So if you win that your net profit = 209.50 or a return on money = 3,909%
So value = for a $5.50 6 pm winning (2.1%) gets 1,495% versus the
$5.50 8:30 satellite (winning 3.3%) getting 3,909%.
Hmmmmmm you don't see the value? I hope you don't do your own taxes!
As an aside if you enjoy playing EBJ and don't like "ploppie tourney's" i.e., freerolls, the experience alone is worth it.
You're right B, I WILL plunk down the full fee $200 for the $25,000 tourney (assuming I don't win a satellite) because I SEE the EV. What I would like is to make sure that there are enough people to make the $25,000 get off the ground and not cancelled due to lack of participants (like Get21.com)
For every satellite that goes off it assures one more person will be present for the $25,000 event. I guess you're right, as a "high roller :laugh: " I shouldn't care. I should just play the $50 SNG and not bother with the "small change" right? Wrong. I want as many people as possible to take advantage of this positive EV event.
I like EBJ - so I support it and encourage others.
You like TBJ - so you plug BJ21.com and encourage others right?
To each his own. I don't Bash/Trash your favorite (trust me I could unleash a barrage against them) but I want them to succeed. I just don't get your continued railing against what now presents the best opportunity to play online TBJ right now!
But when you do the numbers - see above, the $5.50 satellites for the $25,000 have the best EV of all the Bet21.com games! If I'm wrong prove it with numbers and not opinions.
Finally, congratulations of the final table yesterday. Hope to see you there again today.