Who's Afraid ? And How Many Tournament Players are There Anyway?
{I offer the following thoughts in the interest of stimulating conversation for the purpose of expanding the availability of blackjack tournaments. The topics are: (1) how to get the casinos to welcome all players and (2) how to expand the pool of blackjack tournament players. I think we all want that. No offense is intended toward anyone who frequents this web-site or who does not.}
Who's Afraid?
In the original message of this thread Blaze@D21 writes:
"What if the casinos had no reason to fear "Tournament Blackjack" players? They could host the tournaments for a fee as in poker. Make a profit. Bring more people to their establishment. Get more publicity. A win/win situation?"
Yes, it would be a win/win for the casino and for the players willing to pay the fee to play.
But just who, aside from "tournament pros", would be willing to pay the fee?
In addition to the casinos which fear the "tournamant blackjack pros", many of the casinos customers do too. And those casinos which employ blackjack tournaments as they employ slot tournaments and craps tournaments and 3-card poker tournaments . . . as something of a minor loss-leader to get their regular customers into the casino cater to just these customers . . . customers who look at all tournaments as little more than lotteries during which they get to play a game. Here's an excerpt from a flyer for a mid-size tournament scheduled for next month:
" . . . Only established [casino name withheld] guests have been extended this invitation. There will not be any professional tournament players or unknown players at this event . . . ." {italics added}
It is apparent from this enticement that this casino's customers prefer to participate in tournaments without pros. This is a difference between poker tournaments and blackjack tournaments.
I solicit solutions to this dilemma; I don't have one.
And How many Tournament Players are There Anyway?
I suggest that most contributors to this web-site are good blackjack players and many are also good tournament players. But if the decline of open blackjack tournaments is to be reversed the potential pool of players has to expand. Otherwise the folks who frequent this web-site will just be exchanging entry fees among themselves . . . maybe after the casino's cut too.
How big is the pool of players? Let's start with an estimate . . . the LVH tournament with an entry-fee of $1000 ran for 3 years; I'm guessing there weren't more than 2500 individual entrants, after excluding those who tried more than once. (And this in a tournament which, as it turned out, returned more than 100% of fees in prize money and provided free rooms!) I hope I'm guessing low and maybe someone else has a more precise enumeration to offer. After this the guesswork becomes more difficult, but I suggest that the pool of players increases as the entry-fee drops. Much as I and probably you reading this and most folks frequenting this web-site want a $2-Million Tournament or even a $1-Million Tournament, . . . maybe a $500,000 Tournament with an entry-fee of $500 would attract more entrants. I suggest, especially above a certain prize threshold, the entry fee determines the pool of players more than the prize; if a $1000 entry-fee attracts 2500 (from a pool of ?5000?), maybe a $500 entry-fee will attract 10,000 (from a pool of ?20,000?).
I hope televising blackjack tournaments creates interest, but for the record my cable company doesn't offer the Travel Channel or the Game Show Network so I've never seen one.
Maybe the answer is lots of satellites with prizes of entry-fees into the Big One, but that returns us to the first topic . . . how to attract lots of players while allowing the pros to play . . . and how to attract casinos who are willing to host the satellites.
Hey! I just wanna play maybe 3 or 4 mid-size and 1 or 2 large open tournaments each year. Right now, even that's probably not possible. And prospects appear to be dwindling. (I did come in 4th in a weekly Indian casino tournament last week; I won $67, if you don't count the $40 entry-fee, which included dinner.)