Barney said:
These stats look very close to me. The only one out of expectancy, in your sample, is the dealer busting which tends to say you need to play this game very aggressively according to the outcomes.
Ha ha ha. Isn't it funny that people who DON'T do something are ALWAYS first to give advice about doing something?
Yes, these raw number do look very close to the expectancy at first glance. But there’s more to the story.
These dealer hands are over 40 different games.
In some of these games the results are so skewed as to be ridiculous. For example:
21 hands:
Ace up 3 times (14.3%)
Dealer BJ 2 times (9.5%)
Dealer draws 19-21 (w/o BJ) 13 times (61.9%)
Dealer busting 3 times (14.3%)
That was my most extreme example. In fact there are certain times when I would have a 13 or 14 with the dealer showing a 2 or 3. I “just knew” if I stood (basic strategy) that I would loose. So I would hit those hands and sure enough I take the card that would have given the dealer a 20 or 21.
Now we’ve all seen that at one time or another. But when it happens once every other game you’ve got to get suspicious. In fact it has begun to “psyche” me out and I don’t play in the same manner that I used to play.
The other thing that “raw numbers” don’t tell is when these events occur. From a cursory examination of the numbers the amount of dealer busts in the first 8 hands is much lower than in the second 8 hand sequences.
Therefore, using YOUR recommendation about overly aggressive play in the early stages with the way cards are currently being dealt you are at an extreme disadvantage.
With the pages and pages of data I could spend days or weeks sifting thru the numbers. The saddest part is that the first two (2) cards that I were dealt show a definitely high proportion of “stiffs” (12-17) hands than one would expect.
Now was this just me or all players?
Can you see where this is all leading? Conspiracy theories, paranoia, etc. TBJ is supposed to be challenging – yes. But it’s also supposed to be FUN. Right now Bet21.com ISN’T fun. I’m spending so much time collecting data that it feels like work and for what? To prove/disprove that the software has/doesn’t have flaws?
Like the idiots at Bet21.com even care! That’s what pisses me off more than anything else. They paid people to get the software right. They had beta testers and they still managed to screw it up. Why should I spend my time and money so that these same people who lied to me about the bonus money and who don’t communicate can enhance their product?
Nah, it’s time to take my marbles and go home. It was fun while it lasted but the party’s over. For those of you remaining – good luck