Show Recap part 2
Hand 17:
Micky......$169,000.....$3000....4AJA8
*Lorna.....$121,500.....$10000...67 Surrender
Viktor.....$169,750.....$5000....776
Chuck......$101,500.....$20000...5A3
Joe........$110,000.....$1000....226Q
Dealer 939
Matt and Max give Micky some grief over his $3000 bet, but I don't see anything wrong with it at all. In fact, it is the smallest bet he can make that still takes the low with an option to double for the high. Looks pretty savvy to me. It works too, when Deanna draws out to 21, delivering him the lead. Meanwhile, Chuck's first foray into the big-bet world doesn't work out, despite a pretty good hit.
Hand 18:
Micky......$166,000.....$18000...2JQ
Lorna......$116,500.....$5000....7Q
*Viktor....$164,750.....$20000...A46
Chuck......$ 81,500.....$40000...3KK
Joe........$109,000.....$3000....4TQ
Dealer 87T
Chuck gets some pop-in air time for his ego: "If there was a tote board up there, I'd probably be the favorite. I wouldn't want to be at my table." Max gets in a retaliatory one-liner: "Nobody wants to play at his table, just because he's Chuck."
Viktor is drawing some good-looking cards, and his bet gives him the lead. This time, Micky's bet doesn't look so good. Betting after with the lead, he should have covered Viktor high and low. This is probably a chip-counting error.
Chuck pulls out all his jewelry on this hand, and when he busts, Deanna collects both chips and bling.
Hand 19:
Micky......$148,000.....$20000...QJ
Lorna......$121,500.....$10000...KT
Viktor.....$184,750.....$12500...K6 Surrender
*Chuck.....$ 41,500.....$21000...33T9
Joe........$106,000.....$31000...33QA
Dealer 99
Max points out a goof by Chuck, who bet $500 too much to be able to split. I think Chuck should be all-in here anyway. But definitely either bet $20500 or $41500.
I don't have a strong opinion one way or the other on Viktor's surrender here. It's basic strategy, and probably not a bad idea.
Hand 20:
Micky......$168,000.....$15000...98
Lorna......$131,500.....$5000....Q2
Viktor.....$178,500.....$15000...6J
Chuck......$ 62,500.....$31000...98
*Joe.......$ 75,000.....$15000...74 Dbl 5
Dealer 54Q
In Viktor's seat, I'd be pushing the envelope a little, hoping to stretch my $10K lead. While bet matching isn't bad here, consider the value of a bet like $20000 to $25000. More good things can happen than bad, and he would be working toward a more valuable half-max lead. With last bet this hand, Chuck is looking at $15K as the biggest bet on the table. He didn't overbet half his bank like last hand, but I like a max bet here better. He needs opposition betting, and the $31K just isn't a big enough difference from the rest of the table for my taste.
Hand 21:
*Micky.....$153,000.....$15000...T7
Lorna......$126,500.....$10000...8A
Viktor.....$163,500.....$15000...K29
Chuck......$ 31,500.....$30500...3K5
Joe........$ 45,000.....$45000...K39
Dealer 74J
This was one of the highlights of watching this round from the green room, when Joe pulls out a wad of cash for 'Money plays', Chuck decides to flash his cash as well. But of course, you should never get into a flash-the-cash fight with a Maloof. Joe calls into the audience for some cash, and $10K bricks of hundred dollar bills start flying to him from the audience. By the time he's done, he probably has $50K in cash on the table. Big Chuck just can't keep up.
Back to the action: From the button, Micky bets to take the lead, and may have even factored in Lorna's propensity for betting either $5K or $10K. Lorna really needs to be moving by now, although her small bet last hand sure paid off. Viktor matches up again. Chuck held back $1000 to move up to fourth place if things go badly. He correctly read Joe to be all-in this hand.
I like Viktor's attitude here, even though a swing would have been more valuable. After he drew to 21 and Deanna has turned up an 11, Viktor says "Paint it.", and she does. That produces the game's first casualty in Joe, and Chuck is down to a minimum bet bankroll as well.
Hand 22:
Micky......$138,000.....$21000...2J Dbl ($5000) J
*Lorna.....$116,500.....$3000....44 Split -> 4J / 47 Dbl 3
Viktor.....$163,500.....$1000....5K
Chuck......$ 1,000.....$1000....79
Dealer 657
Max doesn't like Lorna's bet. I on the other hand don't mind it, though I'd bet $1000 if I wanted to wait any longer instead of her $3000. Since she'll get last bet next hand, there's an argument to made to wait a hand before taking a big risk. She'll still have three hands left, to make up less than a max bet deficit.
Micky is definitely falling victim to an inaccurate chip count here. I'm not sure what his initial bet was about, but his double for less is $1000 short to take the lead back from Viktor. Micky should have bet enough to take the high (and also an extra thousand to cover a Viktor double). However, once he realized he needed more money, I like the 12v6 double here. However, wrong chip-count or not, he busted the 12.
Once the hand is over, it's worth noting that if Lorna had indeed bet only $1000, she'd still be within a max bet of the lead. Instead, she's down by $55,000.
Hand 23:
Micky......$112,000.....$20000...K2 Dbl ($500) 7
Lorna......$107,500.....$20000...T2
*Viktor....$162,500.....$20000...Q8
Dealer 3QAT
Viktor has a $50,500 lead from the button. I'd like to hear some opinions about his best bet in this spot. Here are a few alternatives with merit: $1000, $4500, $9K, $25K, $33.5K, $50K. Lots of good choices here, and really no bad ones. $20K is OK too.
Realizing Viktor will be betting behind him on the next hand, Micky should make this hand count, and his $20K is awful here. The first thing that comes to mind for me is to figure like this... Viktor goes to $182,500 with a win... I'd need to win $71000 to beat that. I could bet $35500... That way I can take the lead if I win a double... Wait, I'm only $4500 ahead of Lorna, so I need to bet almost a max bet to cover her. Never mind, I'll bet the max. Micky's $20K instead doesn't even open the door to swing into the lead.
Lorna should be happy to see Micky's bet, and make a max bet of her own. She doesn't.
Micky's double is a cheap way to hide his card (remember, they're dealt face down, even on busting hands), but it basically pointless here. But, if you're going to double, make it for $1000 instead of $500. (Again, I don't think Micky has anything close to an accurate chip count here.) From Micky and Lorna, one hand wasted, two more to go.
--continued in next post --