okay, the last hand
Jarek optimal play should be very specific and based on results of Darrel’s split hands.
If Darrel had split his Tens then there would be three types of situation (and three different plays – surrender, hit to at least 18 plus, and double down) where Jarek could have won.
Darrell loses both bets and Jarek surrenders or have a better outcome,
Darrel loses one and wins or pushes the other split, or pushes both hands and Jarek wins his hand,
Darrel pushes one and wins the other split and Jarek wins doubled bet.
Darrel’s split and playing no bust strategy results in 21 different combinations if we distinguish: stiff hand, and totals 17 through 21.
Split Tens loses both hands 21.3%, and that would be Jarek success number if he blindly surrendered all of his hands, but this number does not apply as Jarek’s play should be drastically improved by seeing Darrel’s both totals.
By the way, RKuczek, your guess was a close one, splitting tens, no bust, vs. dealer 5 final results are: +2 (win both hands) 49.8%, +1 is 3.1%, 0 is 17.5%, -1 is 8.3%, and –2 (lose both hands) is 21.3%.
In a few cases decisions are easy, but in many it is not apparent.
For example, with Tens split resulting in two stiffs (15% of all Tens splits) surrender is the best play. But at the table I guess I would surrender any hand except twenty and blackjack if my opponent split produced hands with neither one being twenty or twenty-one.
Chance for winning doubling 15 with power chip vs. dealer 5 is 43.9%, but calculating other odds requires more time.
Maybe I can get to it after the fireworks
Happy 4th of 7th.
S. Yama
Jarek optimal play should be very specific and based on results of Darrel’s split hands.
If Darrel had split his Tens then there would be three types of situation (and three different plays – surrender, hit to at least 18 plus, and double down) where Jarek could have won.
Darrell loses both bets and Jarek surrenders or have a better outcome,
Darrel loses one and wins or pushes the other split, or pushes both hands and Jarek wins his hand,
Darrel pushes one and wins the other split and Jarek wins doubled bet.
Darrel’s split and playing no bust strategy results in 21 different combinations if we distinguish: stiff hand, and totals 17 through 21.
Split Tens loses both hands 21.3%, and that would be Jarek success number if he blindly surrendered all of his hands, but this number does not apply as Jarek’s play should be drastically improved by seeing Darrel’s both totals.
By the way, RKuczek, your guess was a close one, splitting tens, no bust, vs. dealer 5 final results are: +2 (win both hands) 49.8%, +1 is 3.1%, 0 is 17.5%, -1 is 8.3%, and –2 (lose both hands) is 21.3%.
In a few cases decisions are easy, but in many it is not apparent.
For example, with Tens split resulting in two stiffs (15% of all Tens splits) surrender is the best play. But at the table I guess I would surrender any hand except twenty and blackjack if my opponent split produced hands with neither one being twenty or twenty-one.
Chance for winning doubling 15 with power chip vs. dealer 5 is 43.9%, but calculating other odds requires more time.
Maybe I can get to it after the fireworks
Happy 4th of 7th.
S. Yama
